The fourth round match of the Champions League 2024/25 group stage between Inter Milan (Italy) and Arsenal (England) is scheduled for November 6 at the San Siro Stadium in Milan. Inter vs Arsenal: match prediction and betting odds, statistics. Referee: Istvan Kovacs (Romania) Matches – 14 (International fixtures, 2023/24–2024/25); Yellow/red cards shown – 74; Average yellow/red cards per match – 5.3; Red cards shown – 2; Average fouls per match – 24; Penalty percentage – 14%. Probable line-ups for the match Inter vs Arsenal Inter (3-5-2): Yann Sommer – Benjamin Pavard, Stefan de Vrij, Alessandro Bastoni – Matteo Darmian, Nicolo Barella, Davide Frattesi, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Federico Dimarco – Lautaro Martinez, Marcus Thuram. Arsenal (4-3-3): David Raya – Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Jakub Kiwior, Ben White – Jorginho, Thomas Partey, Ethan Nwaneri – Bukayo Saka, Kai Havertz, Leandro Trossard. Inter The Milanese are among the top eight after three rounds. Simone Inzaghi's men have also not conceded a single goal, just like four other clubs. The Italians managed a draw away at Manchester City (0:0), as well as victories over Red Star Belgrade (4:0) and Young Boys (1:0). It is noteworthy that in their previous 11 Champions League matches in regular time, Inter have lost only once, with six wins and four draws. Midfielder Carlos Augusto will miss the game due to injury. At least one team did not score in 90 minutes in 5 of the last 6 games of the Milanese in this tournament. In 12 of the last 14 Inter's Champions League matches in regular time, no more than three goals were scored. The Italians did not concede in the first half in their last six home matches in this European competition. Arsenal The Gunners, like the Milanese, have not yet conceded a goal and have collected 7 points in the group stage of the UCL. The English also started with a draw – away against Atalanta (0:0). Then, Mikel Arteta's charges won at home against PSG (2:0) and Shakhtar Donetsk (1:0). It is worth mentioning that the matches between Arsenal and Atalanta are the lowest-scoring in the current Champions League group stage, averaging just 1 goal each. Defenders Takehiro Tomiyasu, Riccardo Calafiori, and Kieran Tierney, as well as midfielder Declan Rice, will miss the encounter due to injuries. Arsenal scored a maximum of one goal in regular time in 6 of their last 8 European cup games. At least one team did not score in 90 minutes in 8 of the last 10 Arsenal's Champions League matches. The club has not won in the second 45 minutes in seven consecutive away matches in this tournament (2 draws and 5 losses). Inter vs Arsenal: match prediction In my opinion, the optimal strategy for advancing to the next stage of the Champions League is to maximize points in matches against opponents who are significantly inferior in class, while it is acceptable to play to a draw with equally strong rivals. This is exactly how the Milanese and Londoners have performed in the first three rounds. In the upcoming confrontation, it is difficult to predict a winner, and it is no wonder that bookmakers offer equal odds for these clubs. In such matches, a single goal can decide everything. Both teams focus on defense in this tournament and do not score many goals. Therefore, I believe that it is unlikely that there will be more than two goals in this confrontation. This level of scoring has been seen in 10 of Inter's last 14 Champions League matches, as well as in 7 of Arsenal's last 8 matches in this tournament. Additionally, the Gunners did not score in their last three away European cup matches, while the Milanese did not concede in their last three home Champions League games. My prediction is "Total Under 2.5" at odds of 1.73. Author: Oleksandr Oleksenko
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